Brewers at Padres

Scoreboard

MIL4–SD5

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Petco Park · MIL 95-62 · SD 86-71

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	R	H	E
MIL	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	4	7	0
SD	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	1	1	5	9	1

Last play · Freddy Fermin singles on a line drive to center fielder Blake Perkins. Bryce Johnson scores.

Win probability

Padres100%

MIL 0%SD 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

MIL 3 – 2 SD

Brewers led after 5

The book's line

ESPN BET · prices only

Total runs

8.5

opened 8.5

fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

-125 / +105

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Padres favored ↑50%Brewers favored ↓

Biggest swing · Gavin Sheets grounds into a force out, first baseman Andruw Monasterio to shortstop Joey Ortiz. Luis Arraez scores. Jackson Merrill out at 2nd. Gavin Sheets to 1st. (inning 10) — +42% Padres

Scoring plays

MIL–SD · 8 total

11Freddy Fermin singles on a line drive to center fielder Blake Perkins. Bryce Johnson scores.4–5

10Gavin Sheets grounds into a force out, first baseman Andruw Monasterio to shortstop Joey Ortiz. Luis Arraez scores. Jackson Merrill out at 2nd. Gavin Sheets to 1st.4–4

10Sal Frelick reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by shortstop Jose Iglesias. Brice Turang scores.4–3

7Luis Arraez singles on a line drive to right fielder Sal Frelick. Jose Iglesias scores. Ramón Laureano to 3rd.3–3

5Jose Iglesias homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field.3–2

2Christian Yelich singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jackson Merrill. Andrew Vaughn scores. Isaac Collins scores. Caleb Durbin out at 3rd on the throw, center fielder Jackson Merrill to shortstop Jose Iglesias to third baseman Manny Machado.3–1

2Caleb Durbin singles on a ground ball to left fielder Bryce Johnson. Sal Frelick scores. Andrew Vaughn to 3rd. Isaac Collins to 2nd.1–1

1Jake Cronenworth flies out to center fielder Jackson Chourio.0–1

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.