Nationals at Braves
Last play · Jacob Young strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Braves100%
WSH 0%ATL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalWSH 1 – 1 ATL
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 55.3% · hold 4%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+160 / -190
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Braves favored ↑50%Nationals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ronald Acuña Jr. homers (20) on a fly ball to right center field. (inning 6) — +19% Braves
8James Wood homers (28) on a fly ball to right center field.2–3
7Michael Harris II homers (19) on a fly ball to center field.1–3
6Ronald Acuña Jr. homers (20) on a fly ball to right center field.1–2
5Michael Harris II homers (18) on a fly ball to right center field.1–1
3CJ Abrams singles on a ground ball to right fielder Ronald Acuña Jr. Nasim Nuñez scores. James Wood to 2nd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








