Tigers at Guardians
Last play · Zach McKinstry lines out to third baseman José Ramírez.
Win probability
Guardians100%
DET 0%CLE 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalDET 1 – 0 CLE
Tigers led after 5
Total runs
6.5
opened 7.5 ↓
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-160 / +135
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Guardians favored ↑50%Tigers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Gabriel Arias grounds out softly to first baseman Spencer Torkelson. José Ramírez scores. (inning 6) — +19% Guardians
7Daniel Schneemann singles on a ground ball to left fielder Riley Greene. Austin Hedges scores. Steven Kwan scores.2–5
6Gabriel Arias grounds out softly to first baseman Spencer Torkelson. José Ramírez scores.2–3
6David Fry called out on strikes.2–2
6José Ramírez singles on a ground ball to third baseman Zach McKinstry. Steven Kwan scores. Angel Martínez to 3rd.2–1
6Riley Greene homers (35) on a fly ball to right field.2–0
3Wenceel Pérez doubles (17) on a ground ball to right fielder Jhonkensy Noel. Zach McKinstry scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








