White Sox at Yankees
Last play · José Caballero singles on a fly ball to center fielder Michael A. Taylor. Aaron Judge scores. Cody Bellinger to 2nd.
Win probability
Yankees100%
CWS 0%NYY 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCWS 0 – 1 NYY
Yankees led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+195 / -235
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Yankees favored ↑50%White Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Cody Bellinger walks. Anthony Volpe scores. Aaron Judge to 2nd. Wild pitch by pitcher Brandon Eisert. (inning 9) — +42% Yankees
9José Caballero singles on a fly ball to center fielder Michael A. Taylor. Aaron Judge scores. Cody Bellinger to 2nd.2–3
9Cody Bellinger walks. Anthony Volpe scores. Aaron Judge to 2nd. Wild pitch by pitcher Brandon Eisert.2–2
6Colson Montgomery homers (19) on a fly ball to right center field. Kyle Teel scores.2–1
2Austin Wells doubles (21) on a line drive to right fielder Dominic Fletcher. Jazz Chisholm Jr. scores. Anthony Volpe to 3rd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








