Dodgers at D-backs
Last play · Geraldo Perdomo singles on a line drive to left fielder Alex Call. Tim Tawa scores.
Win probability
D-backs100%
LAD 0%AZ 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAD 1 – 0 AZ
Dodgers led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-145 / +120
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
D-backs favored ↑50%Dodgers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jorge Barrosa out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Alex Call. Ildemaro Vargas scores. (inning 9) — +42% D-backs
9Geraldo Perdomo singles on a line drive to left fielder Alex Call. Tim Tawa scores.4–5
9Jorge Barrosa out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Alex Call. Ildemaro Vargas scores.4–4
7Adrian Del Castillo homers (4) on a fly ball to right field. James McCann scores.4–3
7James McCann doubles (6) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Andy Pages. Ildemaro Vargas scores.4–1
7Ben Rortvedt homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field.4–0
6Teoscar Hernández triples (1) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Alek Thomas. Shohei Ohtani scores. Freddie Freeman scores.3–0
2Teoscar Hernández homers (25) on a fly ball to left center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








