We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Giants favored ↑50%Cardinals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Brendan Donovan doubles (31) on a line drive to right fielder Drew Gilbert. Victor Scott II scores. (inning 9) — -38% Cardinals
9Alec Burleson singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Drew Gilbert. José Fermín scores.9–8
9Brendan Donovan doubles (31) on a line drive to right fielder Drew Gilbert. Victor Scott II scores.8–8
7Nolan Arenado homers (11) on a fly ball to left field.7–8
7Iván Herrera homers (19) on a fly ball to center field. Jordan Walker scores. Victor Scott II scores.6–8
6Heliot Ramos homers (20) on a fly ball to left center field.3–8
5Christian Koss singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Victor Scott II. Patrick Bailey scores.3–7
5Patrick Bailey doubles (18) on a fly ball to left fielder Lars Nootbaar. Matt Chapman scores.3–6
3Jung Hoo Lee singles on a line drive to center fielder Victor Scott II. Willy Adames scores. Bryce Eldridge to 3rd.3–5
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.