Twins at Rangers
Last play · Josh Jung flies out to left fielder Austin Martin.
Win probability
Rangers0%
MIN 100%TEX 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIN 2 – 1 TEX
Twins led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+150 / -180
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Rangers favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Kody Clemens singles on a fly ball to left fielder Alejandro Osuna. James Outman scores. Brooks Lee to 2nd. (inning 6) — -14% Twins
6Austin Martin grounds into a force out, shortstop Ezequiel Duran to third baseman Josh Jung. Brooks Lee scores. Kody Clemens out at 3rd. Christian Vázquez to 2nd. Austin Martin to 1st.4–1
6Kody Clemens singles on a fly ball to left fielder Alejandro Osuna. James Outman scores. Brooks Lee to 2nd.3–1
3Ryan Jeffers singles on a line drive to right fielder Adolis García. Byron Buxton scores. Austin Martin to 3rd.2–1
3Byron Buxton grounds into a force out, third baseman Josh Jung to second baseman Cody Freeman. Kody Clemens scores. Christian Vázquez out at 2nd. Byron Buxton to 1st.1–1
1Joc Pederson homers (9) on a fly ball to right center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








