Astros at Athletics
Last play · Jake Meyers strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Athletics100%
HOU 0%ATH 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalHOU 1 – 4 ATH
Athletics led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-135 / +115
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Athletics favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓
Biggest swing · Darell Hernaiz singles on a fly ball to shortstop Mauricio Dubón. Jacob Wilson scores. (inning 4) — +13% Athletics
8Carlos Cortes out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Jake Meyers. Jacob Wilson scores. Lawrence Butler to 3rd.1–5
5Jacob Wilson singles on a ground ball to right fielder Cam Smith. Tyler Soderstrom scores. Brent Rooker to 3rd.1–4
5Tyler Soderstrom doubles (32) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jake Meyers. Brett Harris scores.1–3
4Darell Hernaiz singles on a fly ball to shortstop Mauricio Dubón. Jacob Wilson scores.1–2
2Cam Smith out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Tyler Soderstrom. Christian Walker scores.1–1
1Brent Rooker reaches on a fielding error by pitcher Cristian Javier. Nick Kurtz scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








