Tigers at Guardians
Last play · Dillon Dingler grounds out, second baseman Brayan Rocchio to first baseman Jhonkensy Noel.
Win probability
Guardians100%
DET 0%CLE 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalDET 1 – 3 CLE
Guardians led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+125 / -150
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Guardians favored ↑50%Tigers favored ↓
Biggest swing · George Valera homers (2) on a fly ball to center field. Brayan Rocchio scores. (inning 3) — +25% Guardians
7José Ramírez doubles (33) on a ground ball to right fielder Jahmai Jones, deflected by second baseman Gleyber Torres. Daniel Schneemann scores. Petey Halpin scores. Brayan Rocchio to 3rd.1–5
5Steven Kwan singles on a line drive to left fielder Riley Greene. Brayan Rocchio scores.1–3
3George Valera homers (2) on a fly ball to center field. Brayan Rocchio scores.1–2
3Parker Meadows out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder CJ Kayfus. Dillon Dingler scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








