Rays at Orioles

Scoreboard

TB6–BAL2

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Oriole Park at Camden Yards · TB 77-81 · BAL 74-84

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
TB	1	1	1	0	0	1	1	1	0	6	11	2
BAL	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	3	2

Last play · Ryan Mountcastle flies out to right fielder Josh Lowe.

Win probability

Orioles0%

TB 100%BAL 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

TB 3 – 0 BAL

Rays led after 5

The book's line

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Total runs

7.5

opened 8.5 ↓

fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%

Run line

-1.5

Moneyline

reference

+105 / -125

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Orioles favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓

Biggest swing · Brandon Lowe homers (31) on a fly ball to right field. (inning 3) — -14% Rays

Scoring plays

TB–BAL · 7 total

8Jordan Westburg singles on a ground ball to shortstop Tristan Gray, deflected by second baseman Richie Palacios. Colton Cowser scores. Dylan Beavers scores.6–2

8Jake Mangum homers (3) on a fly ball to center field.6–0

7Junior Caminero grounds out, third baseman Jeremiah Jackson to first baseman Samuel Basallo. Chandler Simpson scores.5–0

6Tristan Gray doubles (4) on a line drive to right fielder Tyler O'Neill. Richie Palacios scores. Fielding error by right fielder Tyler O'Neill.4–0

3Brandon Lowe homers (31) on a fly ball to right field.3–0

2Hunter Feduccia doubles (5) on a line drive to right fielder Tyler O'Neill. Richie Palacios scores.2–0

1Brandon Lowe doubles (19) on a line drive to right fielder Tyler O'Neill. Chandler Simpson scores.1–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.