Nationals at Braves
Last play · Nationals challenged (play at 1st), call on the field was overturned: Drake Baldwin grounds out, second baseman Luis García Jr. to first baseman Andrés Chaparro.
Win probability
Braves0%
WSH 100%ATL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalWSH 2 – 0 ATL
Nationals led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+155 / -185
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Braves favored ↑50%Nationals favored ↓
Biggest swing · James Wood homers (29) on a fly ball to center field. (inning 6) — -17% Nationals
9Eli White homers (10) on a fly ball to center field.4–3
8Marcell Ozuna homers (21) on a fly ball to center field.4–2
8James Wood homers (30) on a fly ball to center field.4–1
6Drake Baldwin homers (19) on a fly ball to right center field.3–1
6James Wood homers (29) on a fly ball to center field.3–0
4Josh Bell homers (21) on a fly ball to center field.2–0
1Daylen Lile singles on a line drive to center fielder Michael Harris II. CJ Abrams scores. Josh Bell to 2nd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








