White Sox at Yankees
Last play · Will Robertson pops out to third baseman Ryan McMahon.
Win probability
Yankees100%
CWS 0%NYY 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCWS 1 – 5 NYY
Yankees led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-2.5
Moneyline
reference+295 / -375
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Yankees favored ↑50%White Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Aaron Judge homers (50) on a fly ball to center field. Anthony Volpe scores. Trent Grisham scores. (inning 2) — +35% Yankees
8Aaron Judge homers (51) on a fly ball to right center field.1–8
8Trent Grisham homers (34) on a fly ball to center field. Ryan McMahon scores.1–7
3Jazz Chisholm Jr. doubles (15) on a fly ball to center fielder Michael A. Taylor. Paul Goldschmidt scores.1–5
3Paul Goldschmidt singles on a line drive to right fielder Brooks Baldwin. Ben Rice scores.1–4
2Aaron Judge homers (50) on a fly ball to center field. Anthony Volpe scores. Trent Grisham scores.1–3
2Lenyn Sosa out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Cody Bellinger. Miguel Vargas scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








