Royals at Angels
Last play · Mike Yastrzemski strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Angels100%
KC 0%LAA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalKC 1 – 3 LAA
Angels led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-135 / +115
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Angels favored ↑50%Royals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Carter Jensen singles on a sharp ground ball to right fielder Jo Adell. Mike Yastrzemski scores. (inning 7) — -14% Royals
7Carter Jensen singles on a sharp ground ball to right fielder Jo Adell. Mike Yastrzemski scores.2–3
5Randal Grichuk homers (9) on a fly ball to center field.1–3
4Sebastián Rivero reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by pitcher Stephen Kolek. Oswald Peraza scores. Throwing error by pitcher Stephen Kolek.0–3
3Taylor Ward homers (36) on a fly ball to left center field.0–2
2Oswald Peraza grounds out, shortstop Bobby Witt Jr. to first baseman Vinnie Pasquantino. Luis Rengifo scores. Christian Moore to 2nd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








