Astros at Athletics
Last play · Victor Caratini called out on strikes.
Win probability
Athletics100%
HOU 0%ATH 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalHOU 0 – 4 ATH
Athletics led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-115 / -105
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Athletics favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓
Biggest swing · Tyler Soderstrom doubles (33) on a ground ball to left fielder Jesús Sánchez. Nick Kurtz scores. Shea Langeliers to 3rd. (inning 3) — +11% Athletics
7Tyler Soderstrom homers (25) on a fly ball to right center field.0–6
7Shea Langeliers homers (31) on a fly ball to left field.0–5
5Brent Rooker singles on a ground ball to left fielder Jesús Sánchez. Nick Kurtz scores. Shea Langeliers scores.0–4
5Shea Langeliers hits a ground-rule double (29) on a line drive to right field. Brett Harris scores. Nick Kurtz to 3rd.0–2
3Tyler Soderstrom doubles (33) on a ground ball to left fielder Jesús Sánchez. Nick Kurtz scores. Shea Langeliers to 3rd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








