Rockies at Mariners
Last play · Blaine Crim strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Mariners100%
COL 0%SEA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCOL 1 – 7 SEA
Mariners led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+250 / -310
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Mariners favored ↑50%Rockies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Julio Rodríguez homers (32) on a fly ball to left field. (inning 1) — +9% Mariners
9Hunter Goodman grounds out softly, catcher Harry Ford to first baseman Josh Naylor. Orlando Arcia scores. Mickey Moniak to 3rd.2–9
8Cal Raleigh homers (60) on a fly ball to right field.1–9
7Eugenio Suárez homers (48) on a fly ball to right field.1–8
4Josh Naylor singles on a ground ball to center fielder Mickey Moniak. J.P. Crawford scores. Julio Rodríguez to 3rd.1–7
4Randy Arozarena out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Yanquiel Fernández. Victor Robles scores.1–6
4Blaine Crim homers (5) on a fly ball to center field.1–5
2Cal Raleigh doubles (23) on a line drive to right fielder Yanquiel Fernández. Dominic Canzone scores. Victor Robles scores.0–5
1Jorge Polanco homers (25) on a line drive to right field.0–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








