Dodgers at D-backs
Last play · Alek Thomas strikes out on a foul tip.
Win probability
D-backs0%
LAD 100%AZ 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAD 3 – 1 AZ
Dodgers led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-165 / +140
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
D-backs favored ↑50%Dodgers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Adrian Del Castillo out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Tommy Edman. Corbin Carroll scores. (inning 8) — +32% D-backs
11Tommy Edman singles on a line drive to center fielder Alek Thomas. Freddie Freeman scores.5–4
8Adrian Del Castillo out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Tommy Edman. Corbin Carroll scores.4–4
8Gabriel Moreno singles on a ground ball to catcher Ben Rortvedt. Geraldo Perdomo scores. Corbin Carroll to 3rd.4–3
8Corbin Carroll doubles (32) on a line drive to right fielder Teoscar Hernández. Ketel Marte scores. Geraldo Perdomo to 3rd.4–2
8Teoscar Hernández doubles (29) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Jorge Barrosa. Mookie Betts scores. Teoscar Hernández to 3rd. Teoscar Hernández advances to 3rd, on a fielding error by shortstop Geraldo Perdomo.4–1
4Andy Pages homers (26) on a fly ball to left center field. Tommy Edman scores.3–1
1Gabriel Moreno out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Andy Pages. Ketel Marte scores.1–1
1Mookie Betts out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Corbin Carroll. Shohei Ohtani scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








