Rays at Orioles

Scoreboard

TB5–BAL6

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Oriole Park at Camden Yards · TB 77-82 · BAL 75-84

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
TB	0	0	3	0	0	2	0	0	0	5	15	1
BAL	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	3	1	6	9	0

Last play · Dylan Beavers homers (4) on a fly ball to right field.

Win probability

Orioles100%

TB 0%BAL 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

TB 3 – 2 BAL

Rays led after 5

The book's line

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Total runs

8.5

opened 8.5

fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

-115 / -105

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Orioles favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓

Biggest swing · Coby Mayo homers (10) on a fly ball to left field. Jeremiah Jackson scores. (inning 8) — +45% Orioles

Scoring plays

TB–BAL · 8 total

9Dylan Beavers homers (4) on a fly ball to right field.5–6

8Coby Mayo homers (10) on a fly ball to left field. Jeremiah Jackson scores.5–5

8Colton Cowser strikes out swinging. Ryan Mountcastle scores. Jeremiah Jackson to 2nd. Wild pitch by pitcher Jesse Scholtens.5–3

6Bob Seymour singles on a line drive to right fielder Jeremiah Jackson. Tristan Gray scores.5–2

6Tristan Gray doubles (5) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Jeremiah Jackson. Richie Palacios scores. Carson Williams out at home on the throw, right fielder Jeremiah Jackson to second baseman Jorge Mateo to catcher Alex Jackson.4–2

5Ryan Mountcastle singles on a ground ball to right fielder Richie Palacios. Dylan Beavers scores. Gunnar Henderson to 2nd.3–2

3Ryan Mountcastle homers (7) on a line drive to right field.3–1

3Richie Palacios out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Colton Cowser. Junior Caminero scores.3–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.