Tigers at Guardians
Last play · Bo Naylor strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Guardians0%
DET 100%CLE 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalDET 4 – 1 CLE
Tigers led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+135 / -160
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Guardians favored ↑50%Tigers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Riley Greene homers (36) on a fly ball to right field. (inning 4) — -16% Tigers
8José Ramírez doubles (34) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Parker Meadows. Austin Hedges scores.4–2
4Riley Greene homers (36) on a fly ball to right field.4–1
2CJ Kayfus doubles (9) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Wenceel Pérez. Gabriel Arias scores.3–1
2Javier Báez singles on a ground ball to right fielder CJ Kayfus. Dillon Dingler scores.3–0
1Wenceel Pérez homers (13) on a fly ball to left center field.2–0
1Jahmai Jones homers (7) on a fly ball to left field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








