Red Sox at Blue Jays
Last play · Romy Gonzalez pops out to shortstop Andrés Giménez.
Win probability
Blue Jays100%
BOS 0%TOR 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalBOS 0 – 0 TOR
Tied through 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+120 / -145
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Blue Jays favored ↑50%Red Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Daulton Varsho hits a grand slam (20) to right center field. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores. Addison Barger scores. Anthony Santander scores. (inning 6) — +40% Blue Jays
7Trevor Story singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Daulton Varsho. Jarren Duran scores.1–6
6George Springer homers (31) on a fly ball to right field. Andrés Giménez scores.0–6
6Daulton Varsho hits a grand slam (20) to right center field. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores. Addison Barger scores. Anthony Santander scores.0–4
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








