Astros at Athletics
Last play · Nick Kurtz strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Athletics0%
HOU 100%ATH 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalHOU 9 – 0 ATH
Astros led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-115 / -105
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Athletics favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓
Biggest swing · Victor Caratini singles on a sharp ground ball to right fielder Brent Rooker. Isaac Paredes scores. Carlos Correa to 3rd. (inning 1) — -12% Astros
9Max Schuemann grounds out, third baseman Carlos Correa to first baseman Christian Walker. JJ Bleday scores.11–5
9JJ Bleday doubles (16) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Zach Cole. Shea Langeliers scores.11–4
8Nick Kurtz homers (35) on a fly ball to left center field. Colby Thomas scores.11–3
8Christian Walker homers (24) on a line drive to left field.11–1
7Carlos Correa hits a ground-rule double (29) on a line drive down the right-field line. Mauricio Dubón scores. Ramón Urías to 3rd.10–1
6Nick Kurtz homers (34) on a fly ball to left center field.9–1
5Jose Altuve singles on a pop up to second baseman Darell Hernaiz. Mauricio Dubón scores.9–0
5Mauricio Dubón doubles (21) on a line drive to left fielder Tyler Soderstrom. Taylor Trammell scores. Mauricio Dubón to 3rd.8–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








