Rangers at Guardians
Last play · Daniel Schneemann strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Guardians0%
TEX 100%CLE 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalTEX 4 – 2 CLE
Rangers led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+135 / -160
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Guardians favored ↑50%Rangers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Alejandro Osuna homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field. Cody Freeman scores. Rowdy Tellez scores. (inning 1) — -26% Rangers
9Gabriel Arias singles on a sharp ground ball to center fielder Michael Helman. José Ramírez scores.7–3
7Jake Burger singles on a fly ball to center fielder Daniel Schneemann. Joc Pederson scores. Cody Freeman to 3rd.7–2
7Cody Freeman singles on a ground ball to right fielder George Valera. Billy McKinney scores. Michael Helman scores. Joc Pederson to 2nd.6–2
1Kyle Manzardo homers (27) on a fly ball to center field. George Valera scores.4–2
1Alejandro Osuna homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field. Cody Freeman scores. Rowdy Tellez scores.4–0
1Rowdy Tellez doubles (11) on a fly ball to center fielder Daniel Schneemann. Joc Pederson scores. Cody Freeman to 3rd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








