Reds at Brewers
Last play · Andrew Vaughn pops out to shortstop Elly De La Cruz.
Win probability
Brewers0%
CIN 100%MIL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCIN 1 – 1 MIL
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+115 / -135
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Brewers favored ↑50%Reds favored ↓
Biggest swing · Tyler Stephenson out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Jackson Chourio. Miguel Andujar scores. (inning 6) — -14% Reds
6Tyler Stephenson out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Jackson Chourio. Miguel Andujar scores.3–1
6Miguel Andujar singles on a line drive to center fielder Jackson Chourio. Gavin Lux scores.2–1
4Spencer Steer singles on a ground ball to left fielder Jake Bauers. Gavin Lux scores. Miguel Andujar to 2nd.1–1
3Brice Turang singles on a ground ball to center fielder TJ Friedl. Christian Yelich scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








