Astros at Angels
Last play · Mauricio Dubón strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Angels100%
HOU 0%LAA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalHOU 3 – 2 LAA
Astros led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 54.3% · hold 4.1%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-150 / +125
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Angels favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓
Biggest swing · Mike Trout homers (25) on a fly ball to right center field. (inning 8) — +38% Angels
8Mike Trout homers (25) on a fly ball to right center field.3–4
7Chris Taylor singles on a line drive to right fielder Cam Smith. Denzer Guzman scores.3–3
5Denzer Guzman doubles (1) on a sharp ground ball to left fielder Mauricio Dubón. Christian Moore scores.3–2
4Mike Trout homers (24) on a fly ball to center field.3–1
4Mauricio Dubón strikes out swinging.3–0
4Zach Cole doubles (2) on a ground ball to left fielder Taylor Ward. Yainer Diaz scores.2–0
4Christian Walker homers (25) on a fly ball to center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








