Rockies at Giants
Last play · Brenton Doyle grounds out, shortstop Willy Adames to first baseman Bryce Eldridge.
Win probability
Giants100%
COL 0%SF 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCOL 3 – 6 SF
Giants led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 54.3% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+200 / -240
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Giants favored ↑50%Rockies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Willy Adames homers (29) on a fly ball to left field. Rafael Devers scores. (inning 1) — +17% Giants
5Bryce Eldridge out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Yanquiel Fernández. Willy Adames scores.3–6
5Ezequiel Tovar homers (9) on a fly ball to center field. Brenton Doyle scores. Braxton Fulford scores.3–5
2Heliot Ramos homers (21) on a fly ball to left center field. Jung Hoo Lee scores. Grant McCray scores.0–5
1Willy Adames homers (29) on a fly ball to left field. Rafael Devers scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








