White Sox at Nationals
Last play · Andrés Chaparro strikes out on a foul tip.
Win probability
Nationals0%
CWS 100%WSH 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCWS 8 – 2 WSH
White Sox led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+110 / -130
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Nationals favored ↑50%White Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Colson Montgomery homers (20) on a fly ball to right center field. Kyle Teel scores. (inning 9) — -71% White Sox
9Colson Montgomery homers (20) on a fly ball to right center field. Kyle Teel scores.10–9
8Luis García Jr. homers (16) on a fly ball to right field.8–9
8Daylen Lile homers (8) on a fly ball to right center field. CJ Abrams scores. Josh Bell scores.8–8
6Luis García Jr. homers (15) on a fly ball to right field. Daylen Lile scores.8–5
6CJ Abrams homers (19) on a fly ball to right field.8–3
5Luis García Jr. homers (14) on a fly ball to center field.8–2
5Will Robertson flies into a sacrifice double play, right fielder Dylan Crews to first baseman Josh Bell to third baseman Paul DeJong. Edgar Quero scores. Lenyn Sosa out at 3rd.8–1
5Lenyn Sosa doubles (19) on a ground ball to left fielder James Wood. Miguel Vargas scores. Edgar Quero to 3rd.7–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








