White Sox at Nationals
Last play · Chase Meidroth strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Nationals100%
CWS 0%WSH 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCWS 4 – 2 WSH
White Sox led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -115
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Nationals favored ↑50%White Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jacob Young homers (2) on a fly ball to left field. Nasim Nuñez scores. (inning 7) — +38% Nationals
9Derek Hill singles on a ground ball to second baseman Nasim Nuñez. Korey Lee scores. Lenyn Sosa to 3rd.5–6
8James Wood singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Brooks Baldwin. Luis García Jr. scores. Jacob Young to 3rd.4–6
7James Wood homers (31) on a fly ball to center field.4–5
7Jacob Young homers (2) on a fly ball to left field. Nasim Nuñez scores.4–4
4Daylen Lile homers (9) on a fly ball to right center field. Josh Bell scores.4–2
4Brooks Baldwin homers (10) on a fly ball to right field. Miguel Vargas scores.4–0
4Colson Montgomery homers (21) on a fly ball to right field. Kyle Teel scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








