Rangers at Guardians
Last play · CJ Kayfus hit by pitch. Petey Halpin scores. Kyle Manzardo to 3rd. Gabriel Arias to 2nd.
Win probability
Guardians100%
TEX 0%CLE 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTEX 2 – 2 CLE
Tied through 5
Total runs
6.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 55.3% · hold 4%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+130 / -155
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Guardians favored ↑50%Rangers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Johnathan Rodríguez homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field. José Ramírez scores. (inning 1) — +22% Guardians
9CJ Kayfus hit by pitch. Petey Halpin scores. Kyle Manzardo to 3rd. Gabriel Arias to 2nd.2–3
4Adolis García homers (19) on a fly ball to left center field.2–2
1Johnathan Rodríguez homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field. José Ramírez scores.1–2
1Josh Jung doubles (22) on a line drive to left fielder Steven Kwan. Michael Helman scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








