Tigers at Red Sox
Last play · Carlos Narváez grounds out, third baseman Andy Ibáñez to first baseman Spencer Torkelson.
Win probability
Red Sox0%
DET 100%BOS 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalDET 2 – 1 BOS
Tigers led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Red Sox favored ↑50%Tigers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jahmai Jones singles on a ground ball to left fielder Masataka Yoshida. Dillon Dingler scores. Javier Báez scores. Parker Meadows to 3rd. Jahmai Jones to 2nd. (inning 5) — -31% Tigers
5Jahmai Jones singles on a ground ball to left fielder Masataka Yoshida. Dillon Dingler scores. Javier Báez scores. Parker Meadows to 3rd. Jahmai Jones to 2nd.2–1
2Nick Sogard singles on a ground ball to center fielder Parker Meadows. Ceddanne Rafaela scores. Carlos Narváez to 3rd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








