Astros at Angels
Last play · Oswald Peraza strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Angels0%
HOU 100%LAA 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalHOU 5 – 0 LAA
Astros led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 44.7% · hold 4%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-120 / +100
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Angels favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓
Biggest swing · Zach Cole homers (4) on a fly ball to center field. Yainer Diaz scores. (inning 2) — -24% Astros
9Christian Walker homers (27) on a fly ball to left field.6–1
6Jo Adell doubles (18) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Taylor Trammell. Mike Trout scores.5–1
4Jesús Sánchez homers (14) on a line drive to right field. Zach Cole scores.5–0
4Christian Walker homers (26) on a fly ball to left field.3–0
2Zach Cole homers (4) on a fly ball to center field. Yainer Diaz scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








