Royals at Athletics
Last play · Carlos Cortes flies out to left fielder Adam Frazier.
Win probability
Athletics0%
KC 100%ATH 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalKC 3 – 0 ATH
Royals led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-155 / +130
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Athletics favored ↑50%Royals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Vinnie Pasquantino doubles (32) on a fly ball to shortstop Jacob Wilson. Michael Massey scores. Mike Yastrzemski scores. (inning 5) — -21% Royals
9Bobby Witt Jr. singles on a line drive to right fielder Carlos Cortes. Tyler Tolbert scores.4–2
8Shea Langeliers doubles (32) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Mike Yastrzemski. Nick Kurtz scores.3–2
7Carlos Cortes doubles (8) on a sharp line drive to center fielder John Rave. Darell Hernaiz scores.3–1
5Vinnie Pasquantino doubles (32) on a fly ball to shortstop Jacob Wilson. Michael Massey scores. Mike Yastrzemski scores.3–0
1Vinnie Pasquantino grounds out to first baseman Nick Kurtz.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








