Dodgers at Mariners
Last play · Randy Arozarena strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Mariners0%
LAD 100%SEA 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAD 2 – 3 SEA
Mariners led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-135 / +115
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Mariners favored ↑50%Dodgers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jorge Polanco homers (26) on a line drive to left field. Cal Raleigh scores. Julio Rodríguez scores. (inning 5) — +45% Mariners
9Enrique Hernández doubles (8) on a line drive to left fielder Randy Arozarena. Michael Conforto scores. Alex Call scores.5–3
7Dalton Rushing grounds out, second baseman Jorge Polanco to first baseman Luke Raley.3–3
5Jorge Polanco homers (26) on a line drive to left field. Cal Raleigh scores. Julio Rodríguez scores.2–3
5Dalton Rushing homers (4) on a fly ball to right field. Miguel Rojas scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








