Rangers at Guardians
Last play · Brayan Rocchio homers (5) on a fly ball to right field. Bo Naylor scores. Petey Halpin scores.
Win probability
Guardians100%
TEX 0%CLE 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTEX 4 – 3 CLE
Rangers led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+120 / -145
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Guardians favored ↑50%Rangers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Brayan Rocchio homers (5) on a fly ball to right field. Bo Naylor scores. Petey Halpin scores. (inning 10) — +59% Guardians
10Brayan Rocchio homers (5) on a fly ball to right field. Bo Naylor scores. Petey Halpin scores.8–9
10Bo Naylor doubles (22) on a ground ball to center fielder Michael Helman. George Valera scores.8–6
10Rowdy Tellez homers (17) on a fly ball to right field. Josh Jung scores. Adolis García scores.8–5
8Brayan Rocchio out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Billy McKinney. Bo Naylor scores.5–5
7Jhonkensy Noel homers (6) on a fly ball to center field.5–4
6Michael Helman hits a sacrifice bunt. Billy McKinney scores. Michael Helman to 1st.5–3
3Bo Naylor out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Michael Helman. Angel Martínez scores.4–3
3Jake Burger singles on a line drive to right fielder Johnathan Rodríguez. Cody Freeman scores. Josh Jung scores.4–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








