Rockies at Giants
Last play · Ezequiel Tovar pops out to third baseman Matt Chapman in foul territory.
Win probability
Giants100%
COL 0%SF 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCOL 2 – 3 SF
Giants led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 54.3% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+200 / -240
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Giants favored ↑50%Rockies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Casey Schmitt homers (12) on a fly ball to center field. Matt Chapman scores. Wilmer Flores scores. (inning 2) — +36% Giants
9Jordan Beck homers (16) on a fly ball to center field.3–4
8Rafael Devers doubles (33) on a line drive to left fielder Jordan Beck, deflected by center fielder Brenton Doyle. Andrew Knizner scores.2–4
2Casey Schmitt homers (12) on a fly ball to center field. Matt Chapman scores. Wilmer Flores scores.2–3
2Brenton Doyle homers (15) on a fly ball to left center field.2–0
1Hunter Goodman homers (31) on a fly ball to left field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








