White Sox at Nationals
Last play · Nasim Nuñez called out on strikes.
Win probability
Nationals0%
CWS 100%WSH 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCWS 7 – 0 WSH
White Sox led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Nationals favored ↑50%White Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Miguel Vargas homers (16) on a fly ball to left center field. Colson Montgomery scores. (inning 1) — -21% White Sox
8Michael A. Taylor grounds out, shortstop CJ Abrams to first baseman Andrés Chaparro. Lenyn Sosa scores.8–0
5Brooks Baldwin doubles (15) on a fly ball to center fielder Jacob Young. Kyle Teel scores. Colson Montgomery scores. Miguel Vargas to 3rd.7–0
4Dominic Fletcher homers (1) on a fly ball to right field. Lenyn Sosa scores.5–0
4Brooks Baldwin homers (11) on a fly ball to right center field.3–0
1Miguel Vargas homers (16) on a fly ball to left center field. Colson Montgomery scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








