Royals at Athletics
Last play · Colby Thomas flies out to center fielder John Rave.
Win probability
Athletics0%
KC 100%ATH 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalKC 4 – 0 ATH
Royals led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-155 / +130
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Athletics favored ↑50%Royals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Maikel Garcia out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Colby Thomas. Carter Jensen scores. (inning 2) — -15% Royals
8Nick Kurtz homers (36) on a fly ball to left center field. Colby Thomas scores.9–2
8Mike Yastrzemski homers (17) on a fly ball to right center field.9–0
7Bobby Witt Jr. doubles (47) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Max Schuemann. Michael Massey scores. Maikel Garcia scores.8–0
7Carter Jensen homers (3) on a fly ball to right center field.6–0
7Mike Yastrzemski homers (16) on a fly ball to right center field.5–0
5Michael Massey singles on a line drive to left fielder Max Schuemann. Carter Jensen scores. Adam Frazier to 3rd.4–0
4Maikel Garcia singles on a fly ball to right fielder JJ Bleday. Michael Massey scores.3–0
4Michael Massey singles on a ground ball to right fielder JJ Bleday. Adam Frazier scores. Michael Massey to 3rd. Fielding error by right fielder JJ Bleday.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








