Army vs. Temple: Final Score & Recap
Final score, recap & advanced stats
ARMYTeam statsTEM
- Q4 2:28ARMYAndy Davidson 17 Yd Run (Mitchell Howard Kick)28–13
- Q4 9:38ARMYTyler Campbell 12 Yd Run (Mitchell Howard Kick)21–13
- Q3 1:29TEMAustin Jones 27 Yd Field Goal 14–13
- Q3 8:18ARMYAndy Davidson 3 Yd Run (Mitchell Howard Kick)14–10
- Q2 2:51TEMAustin Jones 41 Yd Field Goal 7–10
- Q2 9:00ARMYAhmad Bradshaw 10 Yd Run (Mitchell Howard Kick)7–7
- Q2 14:32TEMRyquell Armstead 6 Yd Run (Austin Jones Kick)0–7
How the model called it
- PassAhmad Bradshaw 1/4, 11 YDS
- RushAndy Davidson 22 CAR, 121 YDS, 2 TD
- RecEdgar Poe 1 REC, 11 YDS
- PassPJ Walker 12/26, 168 YDS, 3 INT
- RushRyquell Armstead 16 CAR, 77 YDS, 1 TD
- RecMarshall Ellick 4 REC, 46 YDS
This exact spot, historically
empirical, no ratingsARMY up 1 entering the 4th quarter. Across 1,678 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
- Q4 9:38ARMY +43%
Tyler Campbell run for 12 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Howard KICK)
- Q3 8:18ARMY +27%
Andy Davidson run for 3 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Howard KICK)
- Q2 9:00ARMY +15%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 10 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Howard KICK)
- Q4 7:56ARMY +14%
Andy Davidson run for 2 yds to the Temp 28 for a 1ST down
- Q4 15:00ARMY +14%
Andy Davidson run for 3 yds to the Temp 46 for a 1ST down
- Q3 1:23TEM +12%
Andy Davidson run for 3 yds to the Army 22
FAQ
What was the final score of Army vs. Temple?
Army 28, Temple 13.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
No — the model picked TEM, which didn't hit. We report the misses too.
| ARMY | TEM | |
|---|---|---|
| 344 | Total yards | 251 |
| 15 | Passing yards | 168 |
| 329 | Rushing yards | 83 |
| 25 | First downs | 16 |
| 7-14 | 3rd down | 3-9 |
| 2-2 | 4th down | 1-2 |
| 2/5 | Comp/Att | 12/26 |
| 3.0 | Yards per pass | 6.5 |
| 4.9 | Yards per rush | 3.0 |
| 0 | Turnovers | 3 |
| 5-34 | Penalties | 5-35 |
| 35:48 | Possession | 24:12 |
Costliest call
Q2 0:05 TEM go for it on 4th & 8 at TEM 17. The model preferred punt, a gap of 1.04 points.
Drive chart
every possession, start to finish- Q4 2:28ARMYAndy Davidson 17 Yd Run (Mitchell Howard Kick)28–13
- Q4 9:38ARMYTyler Campbell 12 Yd Run (Mitchell Howard Kick)21–13
- Q3 1:29TEMAustin Jones 27 Yd Field Goal 14–13
- Q3 8:18ARMYAndy Davidson 3 Yd Run (Mitchell Howard Kick)14–10
- Q2 2:51TEMAustin Jones 41 Yd Field Goal 7–10
- Q2 9:00ARMYAhmad Bradshaw 10 Yd Run (Mitchell Howard Kick)7–7
- Q2 14:32TEMRyquell Armstead 6 Yd Run (Austin Jones Kick)0–7
Model prediction
how the number is builtOur model simulates the game drive by drive from each side's opponent-adjusted efficiency (TEM Elo 1590, ARMY Elo 1315 for reference), with home-field advantage. That projects TEM -13.4 (82% to win) — 3.6 points clear of ARMY's market line of -17. That is a disagreement, not a betting edge — sides we favour have not covered at better than breakeven.
Why that percentage is worth reading: across 604 graded in-season games, the calls this model put near 58% came in at 58.2%. The full calibration table is published, bin by bin. Early in the season the cold-start path runs instead and calibrates less well (Brier 0.2028 against 0.1889).
Model as of Sep 1 · through week 1 · drive simulation
Season form — 2016
nationally rankedThe matchup, in context
series history + adjusted profiles#14 of 113 in 2016 by biggest miss · #6 of 124 in 2016 by longest odds.
The 2016 upset archive →Army leads 8–7 · Army has won 4 straight · 27% have been one-possession games
| ARMY | TEM | |
|---|---|---|
| -4.4 (#86) | CORE overall | +6.8 (#40) |
| -1 / +4 | offense / defense | +2 / -5 |
| 2.53 | points / drive | 2.55 |
| 2.25 | allowed / drive | 1.67 |
| 21% | three-and-outs | 22% |
| -32 | pass over expected | -2 |
Bold is the side ahead. CORE strips the situation from every play and solves the schedule out across the league, so these compare two teams that never met.
Key matchups
The analyst read: each team's offense splits crossed against the opponent's defense, with the edges called out.
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Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →