VMI vs. Virginia Tech: Final Score & Recap
Final score, recap & advanced stats
VMITeam statsVT
- Q4 7:45VMIJack Joyce 50 Yd Field Goal 3–73
- Q4 10:38VTA.J. Brand 1 Yd Run (John Love Kick)0–73
- Q3 0:33VTChanz Wiggins 40 Yd pass from Bryce Baker (John Love Kick)0–66
- Q3 6:52VTMarcellous Hawkins Jr. 2 Yd Run (John Love Kick)0–59
- Q3 12:33VTLuke Reynolds 21 Yd pass from Ethan Grunkemeyer (John Love Kick)0–52
- Q2 2:48VTKnahlij Harrell 0 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (John Love Kick)0–45
- Q2 5:13VTQue'Sean Brown 51 Yd pass from Ethan Grunkemeyer (John Love Kick)0–38
- Q2 9:58VTJohn Love 32 Yd Field Goal 0–31
- Q2 14:37VTMarcellous Hawkins Jr. 1 Yd Run (John Love Kick)0–28
- Q1 4:56VTJeffrey Overton Jr. 23 Yd Run (John Love Kick)0–21
- Q1 9:30VTMarcellous Hawkins Jr. 9 Yd Run (John Love Kick)0–14
- Q1 11:41VTJeffrey Overton Jr. 50 Yd Run (John Love Kick)0–7
How the model called it
What the numbers say
- VMI played behind the sticks — third downs that long convert rarely, and VT did not face the same ones. 3rd & 9.8 vs 3rd & 6.3
Virginia Tech was in control wire to wire. What the rout was actually built on.
VMI went three-and-out on 67% of its drives. That is the game. Virginia Tech runs away from VMI, 73-3 at Lane Stadium. Virginia Tech led from start to finish and never let VMI within striking distance. Ethan Grunkemeyer threw for 224 yards on 20 attempts with two touchdowns and ran two times for 6 yards.
- PassJoJo Crump 4/8, 54 YDS, 1 INT
- RushTraveion Slaughter 3 CAR, 21 YDS
- RecHalim Hardnett 1 REC, 33 YDS
- PassEthan Grunkemeyer 17/20, 224 YDS, 2 TD
- RushJeffrey Overton Jr. 9 CAR, 104 YDS, 2 TD
- RecQue'Sean Brown 6 REC, 109 YDS, 1 TD
This exact spot, historically
empirical, no ratingsVT up 66 entering the 4th quarter. Across 60 historically comparable game states (within ±5 pts and ±8 min, from 3,056 games):
FAQ
What was the final score of VMI vs. Virginia Tech?
VMI 3, Virginia Tech 73.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
Yes — the model's pick (VT) was correct.
| VMI | VT | |
|---|---|---|
| 83 | Total yards | 619 |
| 87 | Passing yards | 351 |
| -4 | Rushing yards | 268 |
| 6 | First downs | 30 |
| 2-17 | 3rd down | 3-8 |
| 0-0 | 4th down | 1-2 |
| 5/13 | Comp/Att | 27/32 |
| 6.7 | Yards per pass | 11.0 |
| -0.1 | Yards per rush | 6.7 |
| 1 | Turnovers | 2 |
| 7-45 | Penalties | 11-93 |
| 31:27 | Possession | 28:33 |
Drive chart
every possession, start to finish- Q4 7:45VMIJack Joyce 50 Yd Field Goal 3–73
- Q4 10:38VTA.J. Brand 1 Yd Run (John Love Kick)0–73
- Q3 0:33VTChanz Wiggins 40 Yd pass from Bryce Baker (John Love Kick)0–66
- Q3 6:52VTMarcellous Hawkins Jr. 2 Yd Run (John Love Kick)0–59
- Q3 12:33VTLuke Reynolds 21 Yd pass from Ethan Grunkemeyer (John Love Kick)0–52
- Q2 2:48VTKnahlij Harrell 0 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (John Love Kick)0–45
- Q2 5:13VTQue'Sean Brown 51 Yd pass from Ethan Grunkemeyer (John Love Kick)0–38
- Q2 9:58VTJohn Love 32 Yd Field Goal 0–31
- Q2 14:37VTMarcellous Hawkins Jr. 1 Yd Run (John Love Kick)0–28
- Q1 4:56VTJeffrey Overton Jr. 23 Yd Run (John Love Kick)0–21
- Q1 9:30VTMarcellous Hawkins Jr. 9 Yd Run (John Love Kick)0–14
- Q1 11:41VTJeffrey Overton Jr. 50 Yd Run (John Love Kick)0–7
Model prediction
how the number is builtOur model simulates the game drive by drive from each side's opponent-adjusted efficiency, with home-field advantage. That projects VT -39 (99% to win) — 15.5 points clear of VMI's market line of -54.5. That is a disagreement, not a betting edge — sides we favour have not covered at better than breakeven.
Why that percentage is worth reading: across 604 graded in-season games, the calls this model put near 58% came in at 58.2%. The full calibration table is published, bin by bin. Early in the season the cold-start path runs instead and calibrates less well (Brier 0.2028 against 0.1889).
Model as of Sep 1 · through week 1 · drive simulation
Ethan Grunkemeyer produced five of Virginia Tech's nine explosive plays
Virginia Tech was in control wire to wire. What the rout was actually built on.
One team finished its drives
Virginia Tech scored on 71% of its drives to VMI's 13%: Ethan Grunkemeyer (12 pts), Que'Sean Brown (6 pts) and Bryce Baker (6 pts). Virginia Tech produced 9 plays of 15+ yards to VMI's 2: Ethan Grunkemeyer (involved in 5), Que'Sean Brown (involved in 3) and Bryce Baker (involved in 2). Stacked together, it was never close.
The names on it
Ethan Grunkemeyer threw for 224 yards on 20 attempts with two touchdowns and ran two times for 6 yards, with two third-down conversions and a hand in five plays of 15 yards or more. Que'Sean Brown caught six passes for 109 yards, one of them for a touchdown, with a hand in three plays of 15 yards or more. Bryce Baker threw for 127 yards on 12 attempts with one touchdown. For VMI, Leo Boehling ran 10 times for 7 yards. Traveion Slaughter ran three times for 21 yards and caught one pass for 19 yards. Chandler Wilson lost 16 yards on eight carries. Aycen Stevens was the disruptive one for Virginia Tech: 1.5 sacks, 1.5 TFLs, 3 tackles.
What VMI has to fix
VMI was not without production. Jack Joyce , but it arrived in a game that was already gone.
The defensive story
Three names to keep, all for Virginia Tech: Aycen Stevens (1.5 sacks, 1.5 TFLs, 3 tackles), Thomas Williams (1 INT) and Mylachi Williams (1 sack, 2.5 TFLs, 2.5 tackles). 3 of Virginia Tech's 5 sacks came from the defensive line, which is how this defense has generated pressure since 2016.
The takeaway
Historically similar games since 2019 — close margin, both offenses held far below norm — and how often that offense outperformed this level the following week.
Virginia Tech did exactly what a better team should against VMI: leave no doubt. Jack Joyce was responsible for 3 of VMI's points; there was not enough behind him.
Our coverage of this game
Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →