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North Alabama vs. Arkansas: Final Score & Recap

Final score, recap & advanced stats

NORT
North Alabama
ARK
Arkansas
Final
Razorback Stadium
1234T
NORT007714
ARK7771031

NORTTeam statsARK

153Total yards415
113Pass267
40Rush148
7First downs29
1-103rd down10-17
1Turnovers3
18:35Possession41:25
  • Q4 2:59ARKMax Gilbert 33 Yd Field Goal 1431
  • Q4 10:24NORTDestin Wade 4 Yd Run (Ian Vachon Kick)1428
  • Q4 11:58ARKBraylen Russell 1 Yd Run (Max Gilbert Kick)728
  • Q3 2:10NORTDestin Wade 6 Yd Run (Ian Vachon Kick)721
  • Q3 6:49ARKJaden Platt 10 Yd pass from KJ Jackson (Max Gilbert Kick)021
  • Q2 8:41ARKMatt Adcock 2 Yd pass from KJ Jackson (Max Gilbert Kick)014
  • Q1 0:36ARKIsmael Cisse 20 Yd pass from KJ Jackson (Max Gilbert Kick)07

How the model called it

Model line
ARK −33.1
market ARK −40.5
Against the number
NORT covered
line ARK −40.5

What the numbers say

  • NORT played behind the sticks — third downs that long convert rarely, and ARK did not face the same ones. 3rd & 10.3 vs 3rd & 5.6
RecapSep 6
Avery Howard was the best player on the field

Arkansas won 31-14 as a 40.5-point favorite, and the most disruptive player in Fayetteville was a redshirt junior defensive lineman for the FCS team that lost.

With 2:34 left in the second quarter, Avery Howard put KJ Jackson on the ground at the Arkansas 44 for a loss of five, worth about two and a half points of expected value. Howard plays for North Alabama, the FCS program Arkansas was favored to beat by 40.5, a number that barely moved all week. Arkansas won 31-14 and snapped a 10-game losing streak. Ryan Silverfield, in his first game as head coach: "Offensively, not good. Not good by any stretch of the imagination."

100%50%0%Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q1Q2
ARK favored ↑50%NORT favored ↓
GridpexARK 100%
Closing line
ARK −40.5
Closing total
63.5
Model line
ARK −33.1
Actual result
NORT 14 – 31 ARK
DraftKings, liveARK −40.5total 63.5
North Alabama
Arkansas

This exact spot, historically

empirical, no ratings

ARK up 14 entering the 4th quarter. Across 1,012 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):

94%
ARK went on to win
A near-lock historically
Full recap · 5 minAvery Howard was the best player on the fieldRead →

FAQ

What was the final score of North Alabama vs. Arkansas?

North Alabama 14, Arkansas 31.

Did Gridpex's model pick hit?

Yes — the model's pick (ARK) was correct.

Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →

Model estimates for informational and entertainment purposes only. Not betting advice. 21+. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER. Data: CollegeFootballData.