Morgan State vs. Arizona State: Final Score & Recap
Final score, recap & advanced stats
MORGTeam statsASU
- Q3 4:34ASUJason Brown Jr. 2 Yd Run (Carston Kieffer Kick)7–70
- Q3 7:01ASUDavid Avit 1 Yd Run (Carston Kieffer Kick)7–63
- Q3 13:14ASUGrayson Rigdon 56 Yd pass from Cutter Boley (Carson Smith Kick)7–56
- Q2 1:56ASUReed Harris 8 Yd pass from Cutter Boley (Carson Smith Kick)7–49
- Q2 9:11ASUAJ Ia 12 Yd pass from Cutter Boley (Carson Smith Kick)7–42
- Q2 13:28ASUGrayson Rigdon 54 Yd pass from Cutter Boley (Carson Smith Kick)7–35
- Q1 2:45ASUReed Harris 28 Yd pass from Cutter Boley (Carson Smith Kick)7–28
- Q1 4:20MORGJordan Barnett 2 Yd Run (Alex Amaya Kick)7–21
- Q1 6:15ASUMarquis Gillis 25 Yd Run (Carson Smith Kick)0–21
- Q1 12:10ASUOmarion Miller 10 Yd pass from Cutter Boley (Carson Smith Kick)0–14
- Q1 13:26ASUKyson Brown 46 Yd Run (Carson Smith Kick)0–7
How the model called it
Arizona State was in control wire to wire. What the rout was actually built on.
Morgan State never had a foothold. Arizona State dismantles Morgan State, 70-7 at Mountain America Stadium. Arizona State led from start to finish and never let Morgan State within striking distance. Cutter Boley threw for 387 yards on 27 attempts with six touchdowns.
- PassCameron Edge 6/15, 54 YDS
- RushMarquez Spells 1 CAR, 39 YDS
- RecJustin Perry 3 REC, 21 YDS
- PassCutter Boley 21/27, 387 YDS, 6 TD
- RushKyson Brown 6 CAR, 80 YDS, 1 TD
- RecReed Harris 6 REC, 137 YDS, 2 TD
This exact spot, historically
empirical, no ratingsASU up 63 entering the 4th quarter. Across 100 historically comparable game states (within ±5 pts and ±8 min, from 3,056 games):
FAQ
What was the final score of Morgan State vs. Arizona State?
Morgan State 7, Arizona State 70.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
Yes — the model's pick (ASU) was correct.
| MORG | ASU | |
|---|---|---|
| 188 | Total yards | 681 |
| 86 | Passing yards | 432 |
| 102 | Rushing yards | 249 |
| 11 | First downs | 32 |
| 3-12 | 3rd down | 5-10 |
| 0-1 | 4th down | 4-5 |
| 11/24 | Comp/Att | 26/36 |
| 3.6 | Yards per pass | 12.0 |
| 4.1 | Yards per rush | 7.1 |
| 0 | Turnovers | 1 |
| 5-37 | Penalties | 4-22 |
| 30:12 | Possession | 29:48 |
Costliest call
Q4 9:45 MORG punt on 4th & 4 at ASU 45. The model preferred go for it, a gap of 0.69 points.
Drive chart
every possession, start to finish- Q3 4:34ASUJason Brown Jr. 2 Yd Run (Carston Kieffer Kick)7–70
- Q3 7:01ASUDavid Avit 1 Yd Run (Carston Kieffer Kick)7–63
- Q3 13:14ASUGrayson Rigdon 56 Yd pass from Cutter Boley (Carson Smith Kick)7–56
- Q2 1:56ASUReed Harris 8 Yd pass from Cutter Boley (Carson Smith Kick)7–49
- Q2 9:11ASUAJ Ia 12 Yd pass from Cutter Boley (Carson Smith Kick)7–42
- Q2 13:28ASUGrayson Rigdon 54 Yd pass from Cutter Boley (Carson Smith Kick)7–35
- Q1 2:45ASUReed Harris 28 Yd pass from Cutter Boley (Carson Smith Kick)7–28
- Q1 4:20MORGJordan Barnett 2 Yd Run (Alex Amaya Kick)7–21
- Q1 6:15ASUMarquis Gillis 25 Yd Run (Carson Smith Kick)0–21
- Q1 12:10ASUOmarion Miller 10 Yd pass from Cutter Boley (Carson Smith Kick)0–14
- Q1 13:26ASUKyson Brown 46 Yd Run (Carson Smith Kick)0–7
Model prediction
how the number is builtOur model simulates the game drive by drive from each side's opponent-adjusted efficiency, with home-field advantage. That projects ASU -43.9 (100% to win), essentially in line with the market.
Why that percentage is worth reading: across 604 graded in-season games, the calls this model put near 58% came in at 58.2%. The full calibration table is published, bin by bin. Early in the season the cold-start path runs instead and calibrates less well (Brier 0.2028 against 0.1889).
Model as of Sep 1 · through week 1 · drive simulation
Cutter Boley produced 9 of Arizona State's 14 explosive plays
Arizona State was in control wire to wire. What the rout was actually built on.
The big plays only went one way
Arizona State produced 14 plays of 15+ yards to Morgan State's 2, led by Cutter Boley (involved in 9), Reed Harris (involved in 5) and Kyson Brown (involved in 4). Arizona State scored on 83% of its drives to Morgan State's 8%, chiefly Cutter Boley (36 pts), Grayson Rigdon (12 pts) and Reed Harris (12 pts). Stacked together, it was never close.
The difference-makers
Cutter Boley threw for 387 yards on 27 attempts with six touchdowns, including three of them from inside the 20, two third-down conversions and a hand in nine plays of 15 yards or more. Grayson Rigdon ran four times for 22 yards and caught two passes for 110 yards, two of them for touchdowns. Reed Harris caught six passes for 137 yards, two of them for touchdowns — that score from inside the 20 and a hand in five plays of 15 yards or more. For Morgan State, Jordan Barnett ran three times for 3 yards and one score and caught one pass for 8 yards, including that score from inside the 20. Dorian Harris ran six times for 24 yards, including two third-down conversions. Marquez Spells ran one times for 39 yards. Jalen Thompson was the disruptive one for Arizona State: 1 sack, 1 TFL, 2 tackles.
What Morgan State has to fix
Morgan State was not without production. Jordan Barnett ran three times for 3 yards and one score and caught one pass for 8 yards, but it arrived in a game that was already gone.
The defensive story
Two names to keep, all for Arizona State: Jalen Thompson (1 sack, 1 TFL, 2 tackles) and Clayton Smith (1 sack, 1 TFL, 1 tackle).
The takeaway
Historically similar games since 2019 — close margin, both offenses held far below norm — and how often that offense outperformed this level the following week.
Arizona State did exactly what a better team should against Morgan State: leave no doubt. Jordan Barnett was responsible for 6 of Morgan State's points; there was not enough behind him.
Our coverage of this game
Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →