FargodomeCBSSN
Gridpex Model Prediction
One or both teams lack a power rating (often an FCS opponent), so the model prediction is low-confidence for this game.
Pregame Win Probability
Gridpex modelJXST 42% · NDSU 58%
Market consensusJXST 26% · NDSU 74%
Pick: NDSU · 16 pts off the market line
Play-by-play win probability appears once the game kicks off.
Season stats — 2025
Season rankings shown for FBS matchups only — one team here isn't in the FBS set.
FAQ
Who will win Jacksonville State vs. North Dakota State?
Gridpex's model favors North Dakota State with a 58% win probability.
What's the predicted spread for Jacksonville State vs. North Dakota State?
The model projects North Dakota State by 2.8.
What time is Jacksonville State vs. North Dakota State and what channel is it on?
Sat, Aug 29, 9:30 PM on CBSSN, at Fargodome.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record and validate every pick against closing line value.
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Gridiron IQ Model
Pinned · the model's take
I make this North Dakota State at 58% to win, projecting North Dakota State by 2.8. That's 16 points off the market line — there may be value. Where's the disagreement?