Campbell vs. Florida: Final Score & Recap
Final score, recap & advanced stats
CAMPTeam statsFLA
- Q3 3:28FLAJ. Baugh run for 75 yds, for a TD (P. Durkin KICK)3–52
- Q2 0:20FLAJadan Baugh 2 Yd Run (Patrick Durkin Kick)3–45
- Q2 3:30FLAVernell Brown III 14 Yd pass from Aaron Philo (Patrick Durkin Kick)3–38
- Q2 9:06FLADallas Wilson 40 Yd pass from Aaron Philo (Patrick Durkin Kick)3–31
- Q2 11:13FLAVernell Brown III 70 Yd Punt Return (Patrick Durkin Kick)3–24
- Q2 14:38FLAVernell Brown III 64 Yd Punt Return (Patrick Durkin Kick)3–17
- Q1 1:13FLAPatrick Durkin 28 Yd Field Goal 3–10
- Q1 8:11FLAAaron Philo 3 Yd Run (Patrick Durkin Kick)3–7
- Q1 12:18CAMPAlex Crabb 29 Yd Field Goal 3–0
How the model called it
Cumulative margin after each quarter. Above the line = CAMP ahead, below = FLA ahead.
Play-by-play win probability isn't available for this game — scoreboard margin by quarter shown instead.
- PassKamden Sixkiller 16/30, 127 YDS
- RushJJ Cowan 7 CAR, 29 YDS
- RecStevie Keener 2 REC, 57 YDS
- PassAaron Philo 16/21, 242 YDS, 2 TD
- RushJadan Baugh 14 CAR, 136 YDS, 2 TD
- RecDallas Wilson 5 REC, 104 YDS, 1 TD
FAQ
What was the final score of Campbell vs. Florida?
Campbell 3, Florida 52.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
Yes — the model's pick (FLA) was correct.
| CAMP | FLA | |
|---|---|---|
| 210 | Total yards | 514 |
| 148 | Passing yards | 300 |
| 62 | Rushing yards | 214 |
| 11 | First downs | 24 |
| 5-18 | 3rd down | 3-9 |
| 1-1 | 4th down | 1-2 |
| 21/38 | Comp/Att | 24/32 |
| 3.9 | Yards per pass | 9.4 |
| 2.5 | Yards per rush | 7.1 |
| 2 | Turnovers | 2 |
| 7-55 | Penalties | 8-95 |
| 31:35 | Possession | 28:25 |
- Q3 3:28FLAJ. Baugh run for 75 yds, for a TD (P. Durkin KICK)3–52
- Q2 0:20FLAJadan Baugh 2 Yd Run (Patrick Durkin Kick)3–45
- Q2 3:30FLAVernell Brown III 14 Yd pass from Aaron Philo (Patrick Durkin Kick)3–38
- Q2 9:06FLADallas Wilson 40 Yd pass from Aaron Philo (Patrick Durkin Kick)3–31
- Q2 11:13FLAVernell Brown III 70 Yd Punt Return (Patrick Durkin Kick)3–24
- Q2 14:38FLAVernell Brown III 64 Yd Punt Return (Patrick Durkin Kick)3–17
- Q1 1:13FLAPatrick Durkin 28 Yd Field Goal 3–10
- Q1 8:11FLAAaron Philo 3 Yd Run (Patrick Durkin Kick)3–7
- Q1 12:18CAMPAlex Crabb 29 Yd Field Goal 3–0
Model prediction
how the number is builtOur model simulates the game drive by drive from each side's opponent-adjusted efficiency, with home-field advantage. That projects FLA -39.8 (99% to win) — 11.7 points clear of CAMP's market line of -51.5. That is a disagreement, not a betting edge — sides we favour have not covered at better than breakeven.
Why that percentage is worth reading: across 604 graded in-season games, the calls this model put near 58% came in at 58.2%. The full calibration table is published, bin by bin. Early in the season the cold-start path runs instead and calibrates less well (Brier 0.2028 against 0.1889).
Model as of Sep 1 · through week 1 · drive simulation
Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →