William & Mary vs. Virginia: Final Score, Recap & Advanced Stats

William & Mary

Virginia1-1

▸

Final

Scott Stadium

	1	2	3	4	T
WILL	0	7	7	2	16
UVA	14	28	10	3	55

WILLTeam statsUVA

263Total yards700

204Pass321

59Rush379

7First downs30

2-133rd down9-16

0Turnovers1

22:24Possession37:36

Q4 7:59WILLTeam Safety 16–55
Q4 12:58UVAWill Bettridge 31 Yd Field Goal 14–55
Q3 2:13WILLNoah Brannock 6 Yd Run (Keegan Shackford Kick)14–52
Q3 6:46UVAWill Bettridge 24 Yd Field Goal 7–52
Q3 11:31UVAHarrison Waylee 97 Yd Run (Will Bettridge Kick)7–49
Q2 1:59UVAHarrison Waylee 8 Yd Run (Will Bettridge Kick)7–42
Q2 6:01UVAJohn Rogers 3 Yd pass from Chandler Morris (Will Bettridge Kick)7–35
Q2 9:27UVAHarrison Waylee 2 Yd Run (Will Bettridge Kick)7–28
Q2 13:01WILLDeven Thompson 79 Yd pass from Tyler Hughes (Keegan Shackford Kick)7–21
Q2 13:18UVAXavier Brown 4 Yd Run (Will Bettridge Kick)0–21
Q1 5:23UVAJ'Mari Taylor 1 Yd Run (Will Bettridge Kick)0–14
Q1 10:46UVAKameron Courtney 23 Yd Run (Will Bettridge Kick)0–7

How the model called it

Market line

UVA −30.5

Against the number

UVA covered

line UVA −30.5

Kickoff151 plays →Final

Tap or hover on the chart to see play details

UVA (top)WILL (bottom)· colored dots = scoresFinal: UVA 100%

Closing line

UVA −30.5

Closing total

53.5

Model line

—

Actual result

WILL 16 – 55 UVA

William & Mary

PassNoah Brannock 8/17, 111 YDS
RushNoah Brannock 9 CAR, 35 YDS, 1 TD
RecDeven Thompson 5 REC, 108 YDS, 1 TD

Virginia

PassDaniel Kaelin 8/14, 164 YDS, 1 INT
RushHarrison Waylee 10 CAR, 151 YDS, 3 TD
RecKameron Courtney 4 REC, 67 YDS

This exact spot, historically

empirical, no ratings

UVA up 38 entering the 4th quarter. Across 183 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):

100%

UVA went on to win

A near-lock historically

Most comparable games

WKansas State vs Southeast Missouri State45-0 WMichigan State vs Richmond45-14 WSoutheast Missouri State vs Lindenwood45-7 WMontana State vs Stetson57-20 WMissouri State vs Utah Tech59-14

FAQ

What was the final score of William & Mary vs. Virginia?

William & Mary 16, Virginia 55.

Did Gridpex's model pick hit?

Yes — the model's pick (UVA) was correct.

WILL

UVA

26%

Success rate

56%

0.02

EPA / pass

0.36

-0.04

EPA / rush

0.55

31%

Early-down success

56%

25%

Pass success

56%

27%

Rush success

57%

10%

Explosive play rate (15+ yds)

14%

23%

Stuffed rush rate

16%

56%

Pass rate

40%

6.5

Avg 3rd-down distance

5.1

WILL

6.5 yards to go on 3rd down

50 scrimmage snaps

UVA

5.1 yards to go on 3rd down

85 scrimmage snaps

WILL		UVA
263	Total yards	700
204	Passing yards	321
59	Rushing yards	379
7	First downs	30
2-13	3rd down	9-16
0-2	4th down	2-4
13/25	Comp/Att	23/35
8.2	Yards per pass	9.2
2.5	Yards per rush	7.3
0	Turnovers	1
2-11	Penalties	5-35
22:24	Possession	37:36

Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →

WILLTeam statsUVA

Scoring plays

How the model called it

Win probability

How the line closed

Leaders

This exact spot, historically

Fourth downs

FAQ

What was the final score of William & Mary vs. Virginia?

Did Gridpex's model pick hit?

Situational splits

Team stats

Fourth downs

Drive chart

Scoring plays

Model prediction

William & Mary vs. Virginia: Final Score & Recap

WILLTeam statsUVA

How the model called it

What was the final score of William & Mary vs. Virginia?

Did Gridpex's model pick hit?