| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WILL | 0 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 16 |
| UVA | 14 | 28 | 10 | 3 | 55 |
Season rankings shown for FBS matchups only — one team here isn't in the FBS set.
UVA up 38 entering the 4th quarter. Across 183 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
William & Mary 16, Virginia 55.
Yes — the model's pick (UVA) was correct.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record and validate every pick against closing line value.
Called it — I had UVA pregame. ✓ We log the misses too, but not this one.
Harrison Waylee run for 97 yds for a TD (Will Bettridge KICK)
Tyler Hughes pass complete to Deven Thompson for 79 yds for a TD (Keegan Shackford KICK)
Daniel Kaelin pass complete to Suderian Harrison for 56 yds to the W&M 24 for a 1ST down
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