Allegacy Federal Credit Union StadiumClosing line: WAKE -17.5 · WAKE covered
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WEST | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10 |
| WAKE | 21 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 42 |
Team stats
WESTthis game · better side highlightedWAKE
238
Total yards
542204
Passing yards
26934
Rushing yards
27317
First downs
214-17 · 24%
Third down
4-10 · 40%Gridpex Model Prediction
One or both teams lack a power rating (often an FCS opponent), so the model prediction is low-confidence for this game.
Win Probability
Hover over the chart to see play details
WAKE (top)WEST (bottom)· colored dots = scoresFinal: WAKE 100%
Drive-by-drive
WEST 3/15 scoring drives← own end zone →WAKE 6/16 scoring drives
WAKEPUNT6 pl, 16 yds· own 31Q1
WESTPUNT6 pl, 15 yds· own 12Q1
WAKEPUNT3 pl, 1 yds· own 23Q1
Comparable Situations — historical outcomes
WAKE up 39 entering the 4th quarter. Across 218 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
100%
WAKE went on to win
A near-lock historically
FAQ
What was the final score of Western Carolina vs. Wake Forest?
Western Carolina 10, Wake Forest 42.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
No — the model picked WEST, which didn't hit. We report the misses too.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record and validate every pick against closing line value.
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Gridiron IQ Model
Pinned · the model's take
I had WEST pregame and it didn't hit. We report the misses — that was one.