| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VILL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 |
| PSU | 7 | 14 | 10 | 21 | 52 |
Season rankings shown for FBS matchups only — one team here isn't in the FBS set.
PSU up 31 entering the 4th quarter. Across 343 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
Villanova 6, Penn State 52.
Yes — the model's pick (PSU) was correct.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record and validate every pick against closing line value.
Called it — I had PSU pregame. ✓ We log the misses too, but not this one.
Jahmir Joseph 49 Yd Interception Return (Ryan Barker Kick)
Drew Allar pass intercepted Omari Bursey return for no gain to the VILL 17
Tanner Maddocks pass complete to Braden Reed for 33 yds to the PSU 38 for a 1ST down
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