Towson vs. Maryland: Final Score, Recap & Advanced Stats

Towson

Maryland2-0

▸

Final

SECU Stadium

	1	2	3	4	T
TOWS	0	0	7	10	17
MD	17	17	7	3	44

TOWSTeam statsMD

281Total yards428

230Pass276

51Rush152

14First downs21

1-133rd down5-14

2Turnovers1

23:54Possession36:06

Q4 6:13TOWSCaden Williams 29 Yd Field Goal 17–44
Q4 11:11TOWSJaceon Doss 84 Yd pass from Nathan Kent (Caden Williams Kick)14–44
Q4 11:27MDSean O'Haire 28 Yd Field Goal 7–44
Q3 5:42TOWSLukkas Londono 19 Yd pass from Andrew Indorf (Caden Williams Kick)7–41
Q3 11:51MDLa'khi Roland 100 Yd Interception Return (Sean O'Haire Kick)0–41
Q2 0:00MDSean O'Haire 39 Yd Field Goal 0–34
Q2 10:45MDNolan Ray 5 Yd Run (Sean O'Haire Kick)0–31
Q2 12:24MDShaleak Knotts 32 Yd pass from Malik Washington (Sean O'Haire Kick)0–24
Q1 3:14MDMalik Washington 2 Yd Run (Sean O'Haire Kick)0–17
Q1 8:11MDDeJuan Williams 2 Yd Run (Sean O'Haire Kick)0–10
Q1 11:43MDSean O'Haire 37 Yd Field Goal 0–3

How the model called it

Market line

MD −28.5

Against the number

TOWS covered

line MD −28.5

What the numbers say

TOWS lived on explosives rather than sustaining drives — a profile that vanished once those chunk plays were tackled. 14% explosive on a 33% success rate

Kickoff150 plays →Final

Tap or hover on the chart to see play details

MD (top)TOWS (bottom)· colored dots = scoresFinal: MD 100%

Closing line

MD −28.5

Closing total

53.0

Model line

—

Actual result

TOWS 17 – 44 MD

Towson

PassAndrew Indorf 12/25, 145 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
RushKemarrion Battles 7 CAR, 17 YDS
RecJaceon Doss 1 REC, 84 YDS, 1 TD

Maryland

PassMalik Washington 16/22, 261 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
RushIverson Howard 15 CAR, 60 YDS
RecOctavian Smith Jr. 4 REC, 103 YDS

27.7sper snap · slower the national 24.5s

fastnational avgslow

Snaps run

130

Points / snap

0.47

This exact spot, historically

empirical, no ratings

MD up 34 entering the 4th quarter. Across 345 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):

100%

MD went on to win

A near-lock historically

Most comparable games

WTexas A&M vs UL Monroe47-3 WMaryland vs Indiana44-17 WVillanova vs Stony Brook48-13 WOklahoma vs Temple51-3 WTulsa vs Northwestern State62-28

FAQ

What was the final score of Towson vs. Maryland?

Towson 17, Maryland 44.

Did Gridpex's model pick hit?

Yes — the model's pick (MD) was correct.

TOWS

33%

Success rate

47%

-0.13

EPA / pass

0.55

-0.37

EPA / rush

0.14

36%

Early-down success

47%

35%

Pass success

55%

29%

Rush success

42%

14%

Explosive play rate (15+ yds)

13%

21%

Stuffed rush rate

12%

59%

Pass rate

43%

5.3

Avg 3rd-down distance

5.0

TOWS

5.3 yards to go on 3rd down

58 scrimmage snaps

5.0 yards to go on 3rd down

72 scrimmage snaps

TOWS		MD
281	Total yards	428
230	Passing yards	276
51	Rushing yards	152
14	First downs	21
1-13	3rd down	5-14
1-2	4th down	2-2
14/29	Comp/Att	21/29
7.9	Yards per pass	9.5
2.0	Yards per rush	3.6
2	Turnovers	1
2-11	Penalties	8-75
23:54	Possession	36:06

Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →

TOWSTeam statsMD

Scoring plays

How the model called it

What the numbers say

Win probability

How the line closed

Leaders

Tempo

This exact spot, historically

Fourth downs

FAQ

What was the final score of Towson vs. Maryland?

Did Gridpex's model pick hit?

Situational splits

Team stats

Fourth downs

Drive chart

Scoring plays

Model prediction

Towson vs. Maryland: Final Score & Recap

TOWSTeam statsMD

How the model called it

What the numbers say

What was the final score of Towson vs. Maryland?

Did Gridpex's model pick hit?