| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ST. | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 |
| BUF | 17 | 7 | 14 | 7 | 45 |
Advanced stats unavailable for this matchup.
BUF up 38 entering the 4th quarter. Across 183 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
St. Francis (PA) 6, Buffalo 45.
No — the model picked ST. , which didn't hit. We report the misses too.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record and validate every pick against closing line value.
I had ST. pregame and it didn't hit. We report the misses — that was one.
Ta'Quan Roberson run for 40 yds for a TD (Jack Howes KICK)
Al-Jay Henderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFPA 16
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Victor Snow for 39 yds to the SFPA 13 for a 1ST down
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