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Ta'Quan Roberson
Ta'Quan Roberson

#2Ta'Quan Roberson

QB·Buffalo·2025

Ta'Quan Roberson is a Clutch Passer for Buffalo. Ta'Quan's 2025 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 435 plays — a developing rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.46
    Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.51
    Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Ta'Quan Roberson's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Passing
206/356 Comp/Att2520 Pass yards17 Pass TD12 INT57.9% Comp %
Rushing
125 Rush yards3 Rush TD83 Carries1.5 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs QB peers

  • Efficiency0
  • Volume100
  • Dual-Threat35
  • Consistency67
  • Clutch92
Player type
Clutch Passer

Elevates on passing downs — 3rd-and-medium, two-minute drills, and pressure situations are where this QB is best.

3rd-down precisionLate-game valueHigh passing-down EPA
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg
Game-to-game consistency67th %ile · average
Key findings
  • ▸Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
  • ▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
  • ▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
  • ▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.27 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
  • ▸Peak game: 0.52 EPA/play in Wk 2 vs St. Francis (PA).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗
Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+0.520−0.52Wk 1 vs Minnesota: +0.13 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs St. Francis (PA): +0.52 EPA/play2Wk 3 vs Kent State: +0.36 EPA/play3Wk 4 vs Troy: +0.25 EPA/play4Wk 6 vs Eastern Michigan: +0.40 EPA/play6Wk 8 vs Massachusetts: +0.24 EPA/play8Wk 9 vs Akron: -0.08 EPA/play9Wk 10 vs Bowling Green: -0.06 EPA/play10Wk 12 vs Central Michigan: -0.16 EPA/play12Wk 13 vs Miami (OH): +0.13 EPA/play13Wk 14 vs Ohio: +0.49 EPA/play14
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+C/ATTPass YdsPass TDINTQBRRush YdsRush TDEPA/play
1@MinnesotaL10-231.512/201071037.9700.13
2vsSt. Francis (PA)W45-6—10/201331173.08820.52
3@Kent StateW31-28-19.328/403183166.76300.36
4vsTroyL17-21-4.89/151040032.7700.25
6vsEastern MichiganW31-30-14.719/382723036.6100.40
8@MassachusettsW28-21-36.636/554032155.7-500.24
9vsAkronL16-24-13.923/362661416.5-30-0.08
10@Bowling GreenW28-3-12.613/241361144.910-0.06
12@Central MichiganL19-38-8.816/332081116.0-130-0.16
13vsMiami (OH)L20-37-3.424/483032234.2-2500.13
14vsOhioL26-31-4.016/272702147.1410.49

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
57.5%
Passing plays
93.3%
Rushing plays
17.1%
Standard downs
50.5%
Passing downs
71.4%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.09
Passing downs
0.35
Pass / Rush EPA
0.24 / 0.08

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.