Williams-Brice StadiumClosing line: SC -42.5 · SOUT covered
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SOUT | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 |
| SC | 0 | 17 | 21 | 0 | 38 |
Team stats
SOUTthis game · better side highlightedSC
270
Total yards
253208
Passing yards
12862
Rushing yards
12513
First downs
166-16 · 38%
Third down
3-12 · 25%Gridpex Model Prediction
One or both teams lack a power rating (often an FCS opponent), so the model prediction is low-confidence for this game.
Win Probability
Hover over the chart to see play details
SC (top)SOUT (bottom)· colored dots = scoresFinal: SC 100%
Drive-by-drive
SOUT 5/12 scoring drives← own end zone →SC 3/10 scoring drives
SOUTPUNT6 pl, 28 yds· own 25Q1
SCPUNT3 pl, 8 yds· own 6Q1
SOUTPUNT6 pl, 12 yds· own 37Q1
Comparable Situations — historical outcomes
SC up 35 entering the 4th quarter. Across 276 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
100%
SC went on to win
A near-lock historically
FAQ
What was the final score of South Carolina State vs. South Carolina?
South Carolina State 10, South Carolina 38.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
Yes — the model's pick (SC) was correct.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record and validate every pick against closing line value.
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Gridiron IQ Model
Pinned · the model's take
Called it — I had SC pregame. ✓ We log the misses too, but not this one.