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Lanorris Sellers
Lanorris Sellers

#16Lanorris Sellers

Lanorris Sellers is a Dual-Threat QB for South Carolina. Lanorris's 2025 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 428 plays — a developing rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.46
    Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.51
    Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Lanorris Sellers's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Passing
178/293 Comp/Att2437 Pass yards13 Pass TD8 INT60.8% Comp %
Rushing
270 Rush yards5 Rush TD149 Carries1.8 Yards/carry

Air yards

Where the ball goes, and how much of the gain is the throw rather than the run after it.

23
Attempts
10.2y
Avg depth
6.5y
After catch
83%
Catch rate

The ball travels 10.2 yards in the air on an average throw 2.4 yards deeper than the median. Another 6.5 comes after the catch.

Where he throws

attempts · completion rate · yards
deep
2
0% · 0y
1
0% · 0y
2
100% · 66y
short
7
100% · 42y
1
100% · 20y
10
90% · 142y
leftmiddleright

Depth and direction come from CFBD’s passing detail, which is backfilled after the games: this covers weeks 1–2 only. Spikes, throwaways and intentional grounding are excluded before any average.

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs QB peers

  • Efficiency0
  • Volume100
  • Dual-Threat94
  • Consistency68
  • Clutch29
Player type
Dual-Threat QB

A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.

Rushing threatScrambles for valueStresses defensive structure
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg
Game-to-game consistency68th %ile · average
Key findings
  • Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
  • High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
  • 4 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
  • Production faded as the season progressed — 0.10 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
  • Peak game: 1.13 EPA/play in Wk 13 vs Coastal Carolina (SP+ -15).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗
Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+1.1301.13Wk 1 vs Virginia Tech: +0.44 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs South Carolina State: +0.35 EPA/play2Wk 3 vs Vanderbilt: +0.48 EPA/play3Wk 4 vs Missouri: +0.31 EPA/play4Wk 5 vs Kentucky: +0.71 EPA/play5Wk 7 vs LSU: -0.11 EPA/play7Wk 8 vs Oklahoma: -0.05 EPA/play8Wk 9 vs Alabama: +0.12 EPA/play9Wk 10 vs Ole Miss: -0.05 EPA/play10Wk 12 vs Texas A&M: +0.36 EPA/play12Wk 13 vs Coastal Carolina: +1.13 EPA/play13Wk 14 vs Clemson: +0.10 EPA/play14
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+C/ATTPass YdsPass TDINTQBRRush YdsRush TDEPA/play
1vsVirginia TechW24-11-10.112/192091075.72510.44
2vsSouth Carolina StateW38-1011/191281020.12300.35
3vsVanderbiltL7-3120.36/7940135.2-300.48
4@MissouriL20-2914.418/283022068.9-2800.31
5vsKentuckyW35-131.811/141530094.88100.71
7@LSUL10-2010.315/271240144.3190-0.11
8vsOklahomaL7-2618.317/251241068.7-90-0.05
9vsAlabamaL22-2914.818/322221166.86710.12
10@Ole MissL14-3024.016/301801239.4-171-0.05
12@Texas A&ML30-3120.715/302462162.22800.36
13vsCoastal CarolinaW51-7-15.116/202742098.58221.13
14vsClemsonL14-289.523/423812241.0200.10

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
57.8%
Passing plays
87.1%
Rushing plays
29.1%
Standard downs
50.3%
Passing downs
71.4%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.26
Passing downs
0.20
Pass / Rush EPA
0.22 / 0.37

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.