Rutgers vs. Ohio State: Final Score & Recap
Final score, recap & advanced stats
RUTGTeam statsOSU
- Q4 4:17OSUJames Peoples 49 Yd Run (Jayden Fielding Kick)9–42
- Q4 6:43RUTGAntwan Raymond 1 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)9–35
- Q4 11:39OSUCJ Donaldson 5 Yd Run (Jayden Fielding Kick)3–35
- Q3 2:30OSUBo Jackson 10 Yd Run (Jayden Fielding Kick)3–28
- Q3 7:00OSUMax Klare 11 Yd pass from Julian Sayin (Jayden Fielding Kick)3–21
- Q2 2:27OSUBrandon Inniss 7 Yd pass from Julian Sayin (Jayden Fielding Kick)3–14
- Q2 11:50RUTGJai Patel 44 Yd Field Goal 3–7
- Q1 4:01OSUBo Jackson 15 Yd Run (Jayden Fielding Kick)0–7
How the model called it
- PassAthan Kaliakmanis 10/20, 81 YDS
- RushAntwan Raymond 15 CAR, 52 YDS, 1 TD
- RecKJ Duff 2 REC, 34 YDS
- PassJulian Sayin 13/19, 157 YDS, 2 TD
- RushBo Jackson 19 CAR, 110 YDS, 2 TD
- RecMax Klare 7 REC, 105 YDS, 1 TD
This exact spot, historically
empirical, no ratingsOSU up 25 entering the 4th quarter. Across 584 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
FAQ
What was the final score of Rutgers vs. Ohio State?
Rutgers 9, Ohio State 42.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
Yes — the model's pick (OSU) was correct.
| RUTG | OSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 147 | Total yards | 430 |
| 81 | Passing yards | 176 |
| 66 | Rushing yards | 254 |
| 12 | First downs | 25 |
| 5-14 | 3rd down | 3-6 |
| 0-2 | 4th down | 0-0 |
| 10/20 | Comp/Att | 14/22 |
| 4.1 | Yards per pass | 8.0 |
| 1.9 | Yards per rush | 6.7 |
| 1 | Turnovers | 1 |
| 4-37 | Penalties | 5-60 |
| 27:11 | Possession | 32:49 |
Costliest call
Q2 9:17 RUTG punt on 4th & 1 at RUTG 33. The model preferred go for it, a gap of 0.83 points.
Drive chart
every possession, start to finish- Q4 4:17OSUJames Peoples 49 Yd Run (Jayden Fielding Kick)9–42
- Q4 6:43RUTGAntwan Raymond 1 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)9–35
- Q4 11:39OSUCJ Donaldson 5 Yd Run (Jayden Fielding Kick)3–35
- Q3 2:30OSUBo Jackson 10 Yd Run (Jayden Fielding Kick)3–28
- Q3 7:00OSUMax Klare 11 Yd pass from Julian Sayin (Jayden Fielding Kick)3–21
- Q2 2:27OSUBrandon Inniss 7 Yd pass from Julian Sayin (Jayden Fielding Kick)3–14
- Q2 11:50RUTGJai Patel 44 Yd Field Goal 3–7
- Q1 4:01OSUBo Jackson 15 Yd Run (Jayden Fielding Kick)0–7
Model prediction
how the number is builtOur model simulates the game drive by drive from each side's opponent-adjusted efficiency (OSU Elo 2145, RUTG Elo 1458 for reference), with home-field advantage. That projects OSU -29.9 (96% to win), essentially in line with the market.
Why that percentage is worth reading: across 604 graded in-season games, the calls this model put near 58% came in at 58.2%. The full calibration table is published, bin by bin. Early in the season the cold-start path runs instead and calibrates less well (Brier 0.2028 against 0.1889).
Model as of Sep 1 · through week 1 · drive simulation
Season form — 2025
nationally rankedThe matchup, in context
series history + adjusted profilesOhio State leads 11–0 · Ohio State has won 11 straight
| RUTG | OSU | |
|---|---|---|
| -4.9 (#79) | CORE overall | +39.2 (#1) |
| +10 / +14 | offense / defense | +14 / -26 |
| 2.60 | points / drive | 3.43 |
| 3.60 | allowed / drive | 1.15 |
| 23% | three-and-outs | 13% |
| +3 | pass over expected | +7 |
Bold is the side ahead. CORE strips the situation from every play and solves the schedule out across the league, so these compare two teams that never met.
Key matchups
The analyst read: each team's offense splits crossed against the opponent's defense, with the edges called out.
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Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →